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Fixed rates fall to three-year lows

9/7/2025

 
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A limited number of lenders are now offering fixed-rate mortgages whose interest rates start with a ‘4’, although variable rates continue to have a ‘5’ (at least) in front of them. So are fixed rates about to make a comeback and is now the right time for you to fix your loan?

That depends on your personal circumstances and what you anticipate will happen in the future.

Here’s what to consider if you’re thinking about fixing:
  • Many commentators expect the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to make at least one more rate cut in 2025 – and possibly more. Only variable-rate borrowers would benefit from those cuts immediately, although fixed rates may continue to trend downwards in a lower-rate environment.
  • That said, there's no guarantee the RBA will cut rates again. Furthermore, the RBA might need to make two more cuts before variable rates get cheaper than fixed. That's because, since January 2024, lenders have generally charged lower interest rates on new fixed loans than new variable loans, according to RBA data.
  • Variable loans generally offer greater repayment flexibility, such as redraw and offset, which means you can get ahead on your mortgage – which would offer peace of mind if the economy weakened further.
  • However, if you want budgetary certainty due to cost-of-living pressures, you might be better off fixing your loan, even if it turns out to be slightly pricier in the long term. ​
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Inflation data boosts prospects of further RBA rate cuts

2/7/2025

 
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The annual inflation rate in April was 2.4%, based on the latest data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. That marked the ninth consecutive month headline inflation had been within the RBA's target range of 2–3%.

More importantly, the ‘trimmed mean’ inflation rate – which the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) considers more reliable as it removes volatile price movements – was 2.8%, marking its fifth consecutive month within the target range.

This potentially opens the door for the RBA to make at least one more interest rate cut this year.
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The minutes from the RBA’s May 20 monetary policy meeting show that the board believes inflationary pressures have eased significantly. It also noted that “significant and unexpectedly adverse developments in the global economy” could slow domestic growth, further easing inflationary pressure.

That said, the RBA cautioned that inflation risks remain. The scheduled end of federal energy subsidies is expected to increase power prices, while a tight labour market continues to drive strong wage growth. Both factors may exert upward pressure on inflation.

As a result, while many economists forecast rates will fall further in 2025, it remains uncertain.
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Property prices set new record

25/6/2025

 
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Australia's median property price rose 1.1% during the three months to April, to reach a new peak of $825,349, according to Cotality.

Every capital city recorded growth during that three-month period, ranging from 0.6% in Canberra to 3.4% in Darwin.
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Cotality's analysis also revealed:
  • Regional property prices rose faster than metro prices during the April quarter (1.5% vs 1.0%)
  • House prices rose faster than unit prices (1.2% vs 0.7%)
  • Three capital cities recorded record-high median prices (Brisbane, Perth, Adelaide)
Property prices have recorded strong growth in recent decades, despite occasional downturns. So although prices are elevated in many parts of the country, they might get even higher in the years ahead. If you’re thinking about entering the market, it might be wise to consider taking action sooner rather than later.
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What housing promises did the ALP make to voters

18/6/2025

 
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Now that Anthony Albanese has started his second term as prime minister, there has been renewed focus on the housing policies the Australian Labor Party (ALP) took to the election.

From 2026, the ALP promised to make the Home Guarantee Scheme available to all first home buyers; currently, it is limited to 50,000 places per year and includes income caps. “There will be no caps on how many people can apply and no limit on how much you or your partner can earn. For first home buyers, you’ll be able to buy an eligible property anywhere in Australia, with a deposit as low as 5%,” according to the ALP.

To increase the supply of housing – and thereby put downward pressure on prices – the ALP promised to invest $10 billion to build up to 100,000 homes reserved only for first home buyers. “Funding will support enabling infrastructure, land purchases or construction to get these homes built – near work and family, only for first home buyers,” Labor said.

Labor also promised to invest an additional:
  • $120 million to incentivise states to remove red tape and help more homes be built faster
  • $78 million to fast-track the qualification of 6,000 tradespeople and thereby increase the residential construction workforce
  • $54 million to support the advanced manufacturing of prefabricated and modular homes, which can be built up to 50% faster than traditional homes
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Recent history suggests rate cut will drive refinancing surge

11/6/2025

 
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Market commentators are expecting a big jump in refinancing activity in the coming weeks, given that numerous borrowers switched home loans earlier in the year following the previous cash rate cut, in February, by the Reserve Bank of Australia.

Equifax, a credit reporting agency, has reported that the number of mortgage applications in the first quarter of 2025 was 5.2% higher than the same quarter the year before. Refinancers played a major role in that increase, with refinancing accounting for 37% of mortgage demand in the month of March.

3 key things to consider before refinancing your home loan:
  1. Review your financial position. Confirm you have enough equity in your property, a large enough income and a strong enough credit score to qualify for a new home loan. Also, make sure refinancing aligns with your goals, whether that's reducing your repayments, conducting a debt consolidation or 'cashing out' equity (e.g. to fund renovations).
  2. Do a cost-benefit analysis. Make sure the savings you would get from switching home loans would exceed the costs, which may include discharge fees, break fees, application fees and lenders mortgage insurance.
  3. Take a holistic view. When comparing loan options, it's important to look beyond the rate, because the lowest-rate loan won't always be the most suitable option for you. That's why you should also consider things like loan features and repayment flexibility.
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